Peace or Conflict?     
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 Better than a Known Way

Optimizing all elements of national power in defeating the Global War on Terror requires
successful application of the quality technology-- there is no better way. -- TJC


 “In the final analysis, any contemplation of war must return to  the nature of humanity, which yet stands as the root cause of war and the wellspring of History’s inestimable tragedy.  Throughout time, governments, like wars, have both flowed from and reflected human nature in both positive and negative manifestation. If we are to overcome the massive violence that has typified modern civilization for five centuries, our ultimate challenge is nothing more or less than transforming the image we see in the mirror. That, however, is a task that lends itself to no purely political solution.”  -- Bruce Porter, War and the Rise of The State.

911 Commission Report.  Referring to the Global War on Terror: ".... long-term success demands the use of all elements of national power: diplomacy, intelligence, covert action, law enforcement, economic policy, foreign aid, public diplomacy, and homeland defense. If we favor one tool while neglecting others, we leave ourselves vulnerable and weaken our national efforts." (pg 363-4). Optimizing all elements of national power in defeating the Global War on Terror requires successful application of the quality technology-- there is no better way. 

Homeland Security Assessment Manual: A Comprehensive Organizational Assessment Based on Baldrige (Performance Excellence) Criteria. Since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, America has made great strides in improving homeland security. Yet, our nation’s critical infrastructure, facilities and organizations are at risk—and vulnerable.

29 Nov 2004. Massive WMD attack 'inevitable' ... Yossef Bodansky, former director of the U.S. Congressional Task Force on Terrorism and Unconventional Warfare, US House of Representatives.

5 Dec 2004. How to avert a dirty bomb attack,  Lee Hamilton, December 5, 2004.

 Who's Winning ... ?  Historical Perspective -- Trend on the number of crises in four-year periods from 1918  to 2001.  Is conflict inevitable?  There are many schools of thought regarding the causes of war and the conditions needed to prevent conflict. Application of the quality technology to the issue of conflict  includes a  standard approach for defining and tracking indicators to help validate that change is resulting in improvement. 

Strategic Leadership.  Applying the quality basic to assess the effectiveness of a Strategic Leader. 


If human conflict is inevitable, then why not raise awareness and allow people to "bet"
on the capability of the human race to learn and improve?
 

bullet "If This Is Harebrained, Bet on the Hare," Washington Post, Aug. 3, 2003, Page B04, You Bet.   ..........   
 
bullet Prices, Probabilities and Predictions

With prediction markets, participants put their money where their mouths are regarding worldwide events ranging from government elections to the outbreak of war. The question is, are these markets more accurate than polls and politicians? By Sam L. Savage
 
bullet Taking Stock of Virtual Markets

 Despite the recent uproar over the Pentagon's plan for a futures market on terror attacks, Internet-based virtual stock markets show promise in predicting business success, the outcome of sporting events and yes, perhaps even coup d'états.
By Martin Spann and Bernd Skiera
 
bullet Unusual Options Market Activity with an Application to the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001
 
bulletWager on anything -- sports, politics ...  www.Tradesports.com
 
bulletNewFutures.com. Forecasting - Decision Support, Predictive Markets. "The smarter way to pool experts, achieve consensus, and peer into the foreseeable future. "